NOAA forecasters Thursday trimmed their hurricane season outlook from a 65% chance for above-normal activity to 60% and increased the odds of a normal season from 25% to 30% because of uneven sea surface temperature.
- This hurricane season may be a tad quieter than initially projected, but it is still likely to be busier than normal, government forecasters and others say.
An average season has 14 named storms with seven becoming hurricanes and three of those being majors, according to NOAA. There were 21 named storms last year, a record 30 in 2020 and 18 in 2019. Colorado State University, which pioneered hurricane season forecasts, also dialed back its predictions for the season compared to what it said in April. The school now predicts 18 named storms, down from 19, with eight becoming hurricanes, down from nine. Colorado State predicts four major hurricanes, same as it forecast in April.
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