Romania’s revolution over Christmas 1989 severely embarrassed Iran’s ruling clerics — and now holds lessons for how a spiraling political crisis in the Islamic Republic could play out
this month, there has never been such pressure on Khamenei.
This is one of the biggest challenges of potential regime change in Iran. Affable, multilingual men in ties will present themselves to the outside world as a new order of outward-looking Iranian “businessmen,” jetting in and out of Dubai. In reality, they could well be just part of a Revolutionary Guards network that will refuse to let go of prize assets.
While protesters may dream of the latter course, the Romanian and Soviet experience shows that the international community needs to spend more time considering the risk of an internally orchestrated regime change. Trump is applying “maximum pressure” and praising anti-regime protesters, but does the U.S. or the EU actually have any plan for what happens next?
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