Iran’s rulers have been brutal in their response to ongoing protests in the country. Now, fewer and fewer people are taking to the streets. But for how long will the regime retain the upper hand?
Even after coups, state apparatuses aren't generally abolished. The successors, after all, want to continue governing. But the Pasdaran and other organizations are Khomeini's creations, entities established for the sole purpose of maintaining the dictatorship's power. If they were to fall, more than a few generals would have to fear for their jobs and their lives. The Pasadaran could be disbanded entirely and corporate holdings of its officers expropriated. That creates loyalty.
Salehi, too, is now facing the death penalty. With his desire to bring everyone to trial, even those who themselves have no blood on their hands, he is speaking from the heart of many. The anger against the regime is too great, and the suffering of the victims has gone on for too long. Indeed, the calls aren't just limited to legal action, angry discussions among the opposition sometimes include demands to"line them up against the wall.
Sociologist Kadivar notes:"The protest movement has become a disruptive factor. But to succeed, it will have to bring the economy to a halt while presenting a viable alternative to the regime." To win over the people, he says, the opposition would have to organize itself better and also lay out clear plans for the future. Many people are dissatisfied, says Kadivar, but they are also uncertain about the alternative.
Even if millions do not take to the streets in Iran for the time being, the root causes of the protests remain. The chasm between the regime and the population is huge, and the rulers’ ideology has been exposed as hypocrisy. Parts of Iran's middle class have slipped into poverty, while the children of the powerful reside in mansions and take luxury vacations abroad.
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