Analysis | Bryce Harper’s offensive numbers are trending down and there’s real reason for concern

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Analysis | Bryce Harper’s offensive numbers are trending down and there’s real reason for concern
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Bryce Harper’s offensive numbers are trending down and there’s real reason for concern

Philadelphia Phillies' Bryce Harper is 11 for 73 with 29 strikeouts in his last 21 games.

When Harper was the unanimous choice for the 2015 MVP award, he was making contact 75 percent of the time. A year later he improved that to 79 percent but ever since it has been on an alarming downward trajectory. In 2019 his contact rate is a mere 67 percent, the seventh-lowest among hitters qualifying for this year’s batting title and several percentage points below league average .

Shifting against Harper makes a lot of sense. The 26-year-old pulls the ball often , resulting in a lot of grounders , making it easier to deploy fielders in the right spot. This is clearly not the offensive production the Phillies are paying for, and it may prompt a re-evaluation of expectations for Harper’s 2019 campaign. However, it appears the Phillies are getting some value for their investment.

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