It was apparent that the Yankees were not going to let Yordan Alvarez be the one to beat them in Game 1. He rarely saw pitches near the strike zone and went 0-for-2 with two walks. Covers_josh's picks expect more of the same in Game 2.
This total opened at 7 and leaning to the Under, but some love for the Over has moved it to -110 aside. Yesterday’s game closed at 7 after opening at 6.5, which shows there is some consistent love for this Over with people able to move the line.
The Houston bullpen is my biggest worry with this Over 7. It’s just so deep that there aren’t any weak spots in it. Valdez is a better pitcher to isolate for a F5 Over as his walk issues can get him in trouble. His groundball rate is epic, but New York could plate some early runsSeverino can also get into trouble with walks as he posted 30 free passes over his 100-plus innings this season. THE BAT has both pitchers projected for 4.01 earned runs with Severino allowing more.
The F5 bet also gives us likely three plate appearances at the top of both orders which is huge when you consider how weak the Yankees are at bottom of their lineup. We saw no issues with home runs yesterday as five left the yard. With both starters having issues with delivering free passes on occasion, we could see some traffic with those long balls.The Yankees are 0-5 SU in Severino’s last five road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Find more
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