Rising interest rates are changing the risk-reward calculation for investors across the board. Despite a unique structure and optimism surrounding it, crypto is stalked by the same dark horse.
. On the same day, the yield on the 10-year Treasury bill hit 2.94%, still historically low but the highest rate seen since 2018. Most incredible – and for those holding speculative investments, perhaps most symbolically terrifying – the return on risk-free, inflation-adjusted U.S. savings bonds is expected to reach. Obviously, all of those rates are offset by current high inflation – but so is every other investment.
There are already strong signs of a gradual but steady transition to lower-risk assets . The Nasdaq 100 is a basket of stocks topped by the likes of Amazon and Nvidia , stocks that still have at least a bit of “growth” expectation built in – or, put another way, their price before the current slump implied significant future growth. The Nasdaq 100 is down more than 12% since January, compared to a 4.
It’s really stunning to see crypto hold up better than a more conventional technology growth fund. Certainly part of that is continuing investor optimism about crypto and blockchain, which can, to be clear, still trump granular considerations of risk and return.
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