In about a week, the NBA will finish its resumed season at a quarantined campus during a pandemic that yielded zero announced infections among players, coaches and staff members.
“You can keep the fans separate from the players. But what’s the obligation of the teams with keeping their fans safe?” Swedler said. “The pro teams in the Big 4 leagues will financially survive the pandemic. They might not make as much money if they don’t have fans present. But they have huge TV contracts. That’s going to pay the majority of the bills.
The overall national COVID-19"positivity rate" in the U.S. has hovered around 5% since the middle of September, according to John Hopkins University. At the beginning of August, it was 8%. William Schaffner, an infectious disease specialist at Vanderbilt University, considered the idea “an acceptable level of low risk” if venues are filled only to 20 percent capacity. In the NBA’s case, that would be between 3,500 to 5,000 fans. Still, he expressed concern about the varying local and state policies on the virus.
"The entire experience will change in many, many ways. You will be there really to see the game, and not do much else," Schaffner said.Those concerns explain why the NBA resumed the season at a quarantined site without fans. Though Silver conceded that “nothing has really changed with this virus,” the NBA and the players union have leaned against hosting another bubble amid concerns about extended time away from family.
First, health experts pointed to current protocols that include daily testing and enforcement of mask-wearing and social distancing. For home teams, they advised all players, coaches and essential staff to stay at home between practices and games with the exception for essential services, such as trips to the grocery store, hospital or school. Their family would be subject to the same rules.
How the NBA formulates these policies remains to be seen. After the Finals, Silver and the players union will negotiate how much time teams will have to rest and train before next season, salary cap implications and other issues.
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