Decoding the Russian strategy to hold back its airpower in the Ukraine conflict
In mid-2015, the Syrian regime of Bashar Al Assad was close to losing control over the country. Opposition rebels armed with sophisticated weaponry, including anti-aircraft stinger missiles, had taken the major city of Idlib. It seemed Assad’s days were numbered, but then Russia entered the fray.
“Ukrainian air defences have not been completely neutralised. Ukraine still has degrees of capacity to detect, acquire and engage Russian aircraft in the air,” he tellsRussia started its campaign by hitting the Ukrainian air defence network, including early warning radars and surface-to-air missiles . That’s expected in a modern conflict.
In an assessment of the VKS operation, RUSI think-tank analyst Justin Bronk pointed out that technical reasons, ranging from lack of precision-guided missiles to untrained pilots, could have slowed the Russian air offence. “The Mysterious Case of the Missing Russian Air Force” published on February 28 has been widely circulated on Twitter.
For months now, the United States and its allies have shipped arms to Ukraine that also include air defence capabilities, says Gilli of ETH-Zurich.
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