Mastriano has a devoted base of support who chanted his name at a September rally with former President Donald Trump. But even some fellow Republicans are cringing because he’s done little to expand his backing.
There’s at least one difference now at play: Toomey ran with the support of gun safety groups that praised his support for broader background checks, a key selling point in the suburbs. Oz opposes that idea, and“Politics has become so tribal and so polarized and so much based on party ... that I’m not convinced there’s a lot of ticket-splitting that’s going to happen this time,” Greenwood said.
Other Republicans point to recent elections to argue that there are still enough to make a difference in a close race. In Chester County, for example, the GOP candidates for treasurer and auditor won more votes than Trump did in 2020, and triumphed statewide, while the former president lost.“Are there a ton of Shapiro-Oz voters walking around out there? And the answer is no,” said Muhlenberg College pollster Chris Borick.
“Then you get to Fetterman’s brand: really attractive to some voters, younger, working class,” Borick said. But “for a more buttoned-down, older audience, isn’t a natural fit.”
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