Al Melchior breaks down five players who have broken out in the second half to determine if they are worth investing in for 2024.
2023 5×5 Roto value to date:on Monday night snapped a streak of eight consecutive starts in which he allowed no more than three runs. Since that streak began on July 24, Kremer has posted a 3.04 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP after recording a 4.80 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over his 20 prior starts.
Kremer’s story is similar to Kikuchi’s in that he has tamed a high home run ratio in his most recent run of starts . His ground ball rate has increased from 36.2 percent through July 19 to 45.7 percent since then. In Kremer’s case, it’s his four-seamer that is the primary source of his increase in grounders. Through July 19, he induced grounders at a mere 18.8 percent rate on his four-seamer, but since then the rate has more than doubled to 39.6 percent.
Without the increase in grounders, Kremer was not even viable in 15-team leagues, but if he can keep this up, he could be worth protecting as an inexpensive keeper in those formats. It is worth noting that Kremer has been aided by an 80.5 percent strand rate since July 24, so it’s probably not realistic to expect him to maintain a low- or mid-3.00s ERA, even with a higher ground ball rate. Also, with a 95.
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