While troops from the Wagner mercenary group are not at the front line in Ukraine, losing them would hit Russian reserve numbers.
in late May, marking one of the only major territorial gains for the Kremlin since last summer, the mercenary chief said Wagner would hand over responsibility for the defense of the city to Russia’s regular military — part of the apparent spat that would later take his troops on a march to Moscow.“They really haven’t been defensively engaged or offensively engaged for nearly a month,” said Karolina Hird, a Russia analyst with the Institute for the Study of War.
If any portion of Wagner’s troops, claimed by Prigozhin to number as many as 25,000, were to withdraw from Ukraine, most analysts believe it would eventually compound a major problem for Russia: a shortage of skilled fighters.The British Defense Ministry has estimated that Russia currently has about 200,000 troops in Ukraine, roughly the same number it had at the start of the war, despite heavy losses.
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