Virginia's legislative contests may be the most important races in 2023

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Virginia's legislative contests may be the most important races in 2023
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The GOP could gain full control of state government in the bluish commonwealth.

When Virginia Democrats didn’t lose a statewide election from 2012 through 2020, the conventional wisdom shifted toward viewing Virginia asall three state offices — governor, lieutenant governor and attorney general — as well as the House of Delegates, the lower chamber of the state’s General Assembly.

Three surveys conducted between late September and mid-October gave Democrats a nominal advantage, but each result was well within each poll’s margin of error. In mid-October,the Wason Center at Christopher Newport University , on average, compared with the partisan lean of those districts. Among those was a Virginia special election in which now-Sen. Aaron Rouse, a Democrat, flipped a formerly Republican-held state Senate seat in January. That race, along with more traditional GOP messaging issues like public safety and taxes. The focus on education undoubtedly follows Youngkin’s 2021 example, when hein the wake of COVID-era remote learning, masking policies and controversy over critical race theory.

Most of these races are in districts that Youngkin carried in 2021 and House Democratic candidates carried in 2022. And all of them are in suburban or exurban areas of the state’sSix of these eight seats are open, while two races include Republican incumbents trying to stay in office. In the57th Districtthat Democrat Susanna Gibson had performed sex acts with her husband in live online videos. While this revelation probably hurt Gibson —— the contest may still be quite competitive.

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