The reality on the ground is the West hasn't sent enough of the heavy artillery and equipment Ukraine needs. What they have is being used up at an astonishing speed and they are losing a lot of men every day.
With its vast supplies and no game-changer munitions to face, they can simply grind down Ukrainian resistance. It's a trusted strategy, Russia has used it before, and it works.Its sights will be on the Donetsk region next, and the key towns and cities of Bakhmut, Slovyansk and Kramatorsk.
The governor of Donetsk, working from the current regional capital Kramatorsk after Donetsk city was taken by the Russian-backed separatists in 2014, told me in no uncertain terms that what had been promised by the west was critical to holding ground. "I don't just suppose, I know that the amounts of weapons that Ukraine needs, the specific list of weapons provided for heavy artillery, armoured fighting vehicles, aviation, anti-aircraft systems, antitank missile systems, and how fast they can be delivered, can influence the quality of defence," he told me.I asked him what would happen if this help didn't come.
"It just means that we'll stand for our country for as long as needed and we won't give up any inch of our territory," he responded stoically.In effect the governor was simply saying that the fight will go on with or without help.These are tough and critical times for Ukraine right now.
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