Ukraine-Russia war latest: Odesa and Crimea attacked from the air; three assumptions that need to hold for Ukraine to achieve breakthrough

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Ukraine-Russia war latest: Odesa and Crimea attacked from the air; three assumptions that need to hold for Ukraine to achieve breakthrough
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The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) says a 'significant breakthrough' against Russian forces is possible for Ukraine if three assumptions hold.

The Russian-installed head of Crimea has not yet noted any attacks on his social media. Good morning - here's the latest

Overnight, we've brought you reports of an air raid on the southern city of Odesa - where one civilian has been injured and infrastructure damaged - we'll bring you more on that as we get it. Russian peacekeepers escorted 311 refugees from Azerbaijan's Nagorno-Karabakh to Armenia, Russia's defence ministry said;Ukraine has reported that its missile strike on the headquarters of Russia's Black Sea fleet in Crimea hit a gathering of senior naval officials, causing casualties among top commanders and resulting in dozens of deaths and injuries;

More are expected to follow after a 10-month blockade and a military offensive this month that resulted in Azerbaijan reclaiming full control of the breakaway region. The Ukrainian leader said defence packages from the US and Canada would be"very much needed at the front" and he had agreed on their production and supply.He went on to say the country had a"clear perspective of a new resilience" that would prevent the recurrence of Russian aggression.

Up above you can just about make out the sound of woodpeckers tapping away in the pine forest canopy as dogs bark fiercely behind corrugated iron. It does not look like a place for mass murder, but where does.

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