Geolocation specialists tracked Ukrainian troops to the outskirts of Verbove, a village behind Russian fortifications
“The push towards Verbove seeks to level off the frontline as Ukrainian forces south of Robotyne are dangerously exposed in case of a Russian counterattack,” he toldThe main thrust of the counteroffensive is still towards the city of Tokmak, around 25 miles southwest of Verbove, the analyst added. That could provide a foothold for a further push to Melitopol and then the coast.
Manpower is likely to be a more significant factor than which side controls any town or village, says Mykola Bielieskov, an adviser to Ukraine’s military leadership through the National Institute of Strategic Studies think-tank.Mr Bielieskov acknowledged the breach of Russian defensive lines but noted that several more lines remain, although it is unclear how strongly defended these are.
The strategist added that it was unclear to what extent Ukraine’s attritional approach had succeeded in weakening Russian defences but said that “Russia has thrown most forces in the first line” – potentially leaving deeper defences undermanned.
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