In international relations and national governance, there is always a need to assess risks and the costs of averting them, writes MichaelBarone. 'Excessive risk aversion can be costly, economically and in human lives.'
Since the beginning of the calendar year, a lot of things have changed. More importantly, a lot of minds have changed as well. The world and the nation don’t look like they used to, and don’t seem likely to again any time soon.
Despite accumulating evidence that widespread vaccination had reduced the deadliness of successive COVID variants, many blue state residents clung to their masks. Appearing in public maskless, some said, might lead people to think they voted for Trump. Support for similar left-wing lunacy seems to be evaporating. In February, three members of the school board were recalled — booted from office in San Francisco, of all places.
We’ve turned a corner abroad, too. Who expected, last New Year’s Day, that Russia would stage a 1940s-fashion invasion of Ukraine? And who predicted that such an invasion, after five weeks, would fail to capture Kyiv or other major cities and wouldn’t overturn Ukraine’s government? Yet one sanction neither Joe Biden nor European leaders have adopted is ending purchases of Russian oil and natural gas, although Vladimir Putin’s geopolitical power is based on fossil fuel. As Walter Russell Mead argued in 2017, an American leader bent on maximizing Putin’s leverage would limit fracking, block oil pipelines, and cut military spending — a perfect description of the Biden administration's and European leaders’ policies pre-Ukraine.
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