“The Trump administration just put it's thumb on the scale in favor of the IRGC and hardline forces in the region who prefer confrontation to compromise,” Jamal Abdi, president of the National Iranian American Council, said.
Experts have suggested that President Donald Trump’s unprecedented decision to designate Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a “terrorist group” will likely encourage hardliners to push for an even harsher stance toward the U.S. and do little to change the Iranian regime’s actions.
“This is escalation for escalation's sake,” Jamal Abdi, president of the National Iranian American Council told Newsweek. “[The] IRGC is already the most sanctioned entity on planet Earth, yet they benefit greatly from the blackmarket sanctions economy and have the most to lose if Iran enters the world economy."
Jacob Shapiro, director of analysis at Geopolitical Futures, told Newsweek that Iran’s actions throughout the region will not change for the better with Trump’s decision. He also suggested that the Persian Gulf nation could use the designation as justification to return to working toward building a nuclear weapon.
“That is why the Trump Administration is cracking down on the IRGC now–if you crack down on Iran without cracking down on the IRGC, the efforts will be ineffective,” he said. However, he added that there is a difference between the hardliners behind the IRGC and the civilian-led government of President Hassan Rouhani, but the Trump administration has not distinguished between the camps within Iran.
Trump withdrew from the 2015 JCPOA last year, despite significant pushback from the agreement’s other signatories, the U.K., France, Germany, the E.U., Russia and China. The U.S. then moved to reimplement sanctions targeting Iran, while European allies, Russia and China have worked to circumvent the punitive financial measures.
“The foreign minister condemned the move, and emphasized that such a move would create a lot of danger,” Iran’s Islamic Republic News Agency reported Monday. “Although the Islamic Republic of Iran is not looking for tension... if the United States makes such a decision, the Islamic Republic of Iran will also reciprocate,” it continued.
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