Win or lose, the former president's endorsement often guarantees only about a third of the primary electorate. Republican strategists are watching that dynamic closely.
Win or lose, Trump’s endorsement often guarantees less than a third of the primary electorate, a recurring data point that GOP operatives around the country are paying close attention to as Republicans battle over the future of their party and the former president gears up to make a third bid for the White House.“Now that he’s kind of out of it, he’s not in a position that he was in,” Chris Russell, 40, a GOP voter from Marietta, Georgia, said Tuesday afternoon. “I think he’s cooled off a lot.
Indeed, whether Trump endorsed them or endorsed their opponents, incumbents tended to win their races. And in many cases, including those of a half-dozen House members in Texas who were unopposed in the primary, his picks faced little or no competition. “I suspect that when primary season is over, there will be a noticeable difference in his record in Senate/House primaries vs governor primaries,” the source said over text. “Generally speaking, national politics and national endorsements matter a whole lot less in state races, where local issues tend to be king, than they do in federal races.”
None of it dented Kemp, who leveraged the benefits of incumbency by out-raising Perdue and using this spring's lawmaking session to sign a raft of laws that rallied conservatives. Kemp's strategy, coupled with wins by many Trump favorites in Tuesday's elections, show that the former president's political movement remains strong, said Steve Bannon, a former White House and campaign aide to Trump.
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