It was already one of the world’s fastest-shrinking countries. The war is accelerating its decline
how many people have died since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine began. And because many refugees have, no one knows how many remain abroad, nor how many people are in Ukraine today. One thing is sure though, says Iryna Kurylo, a researcher from Kyiv’s Ptoukha Institute, who is exiled in Prague. The “demographic price” imposed by Russia’s war will be very high.were patchy and imprecise even before the invasion.
In February, according to the last official estimate just before the invasion, there were 37.5m people living in government-controlled Ukraine. That figure was close to an estimate made in 2020 using sources such as pension-fund and mobile-phone data. Discussing that survey, Dmytro Dubilet, then a government official, said that 3.8m Ukrainians had left the country in the previous decade and had not returned.
In the longer term the question is how many of those refugees, who are mostly women and children, will ever come home? Since September most refugee children have been going to school, either at host-country schools or online. The longer the war goes on, the deeper the roots they will put down in their new countries and the less likely they are to return to Ukraine.
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