'When it comes to Crimea and the war more generally, the key is not to corner the Russian bear but rather to bleed him out so that he must retreat before he perishes.' -TomRtweets
Yet, as Russia adopts a static defense strategy and Ukraine prepares for a spring counteroffensive, the question of Crimea is again rising in relevance — specifically, whether the U.S. should support a Ukrainian effort to retake the peninsula. This is not likely to be a hypothetical concern.Ukrainian planning is being predominantly shaped by the British Army, which is guiding Ukraine toward more aggressive offensive action than the U.S. military.
While it is clear that the Kremlin fears rising public concern over the disastrous conduct of the war, the ascendant political constituency in the Kremlin is clearly that of the hawks. It's also important to note that Crimea takes on a special value for Russian elites and Putin personally. Crimea has thus taken on an almost theological value for Putin, something underlined by his increasingly overt attempts to define himself as a modern fusion of Peter the Great and Catherine the Great . This reality cannot be ignored by U.S. policymakers. Nor, however, should it produce overdue caution of the kind that has seen the Biden administration bow to Russian attacks on U.S. military forces. The Russians respect weakness as much as a shark respects a bleeding seal.
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