The Rocky Road to This Year’s Oscars

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The Rocky Road to This Year’s Oscars
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The Oscars strive to be two things at once, MJSchulman writes: an industry recognition of the various aspects of moviemaking and a splashy television event that must appeal to a mass audience.

,” which both lost Best Picture to “Nomadland.” The common wisdom is that the traditional studios, threatened by the changing distribution model, have resisted awarding the top prize to a streaming company—even as they add streaming services of their own, such as Paramount+. Still, it’s hard to call Netflix an underdog, no matter how many auteurist masterpieces it gobbles up; it’s an empire that just can’t conquer the City of Gold.

This year, Netflix finally has a front-runner, “The Power of the Dog.” But, like other front-runners before it , the film has suffered from a bout of inevitability fatigue. Last weekend, “CODA” won the Producers Guild Award, raising the possibility of a late surge. Sian Heder’s feel-good drama, about an aspiring singer with a deaf family, is a throwback to the little-movie-that-could likes of “Shine” and “.

Adding to the late-season oscillation for “The Power of the Dog” is an Oscar staple: the campaign-trail gaffe. Campion, a giant of feminist cinema, had a wild weekend in mid-March. On her way into the Directors Guild Awards, on March 12th, she was asked about the actor Sam Elliott’s criticisms of her film, which he called a “piece of shit” on Marc Maron’s podcast. Elliott’s machismo gave Campion an opening for a line drive, and she delivered.

The distended awards season, with its endless march of “precursor” prizes, makes such flareups inevitable. (Along with more literal flareups: after this year’s

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