History bears out the political trope that the president’s party loses seats in the midterms: there’s rarely been an exception in modern elections.
Both Democrats and Republicans are gearing up for an intense midterm season this fall, expanding their battlegrounds with the elections only about six months away. A Democratic loss would inhibit President Biden from passing the rest of his political agenda.That brings the total number of Republican retirements to just 18, compared to the Democrats' 31.
In 2014, the middle of President Obama’s second term, Republicans had a net gain of 13 seats in the House. And in 2020, Democrats actually lost seats, despite a Democratic president’s win. They were still able to hold the majority, but only barely.Amy Walter of The Cook Political Report predicted last week the likely scenario for this fall's midterms is a Republican gain in the 15-25 seat range.The National Republican Congressional Committee announced it was adding 10 House districts to its list of Democratic targets.
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