Putin's latest moves are a risk calculation—not just about the war, but about his ability to continue to rule.
of them are said to have voted for annexation. This means that men in these districts will now be eligible for the draft as well—and ordered, as good, loyal Russians, to shoot their once-fellow Ukrainians. Another recipe for demoralization, desertion, and easy marks for Ukrainian bullets, bombs, and missiles.
It’s not just the poor grunts who will suffer—and many, perhaps most, of these grunts don’t want to be in the war. The officers will suffer too. Most officers want to take care of their soldiers, if for no other reason than to make sure they stay alert, develop some loyalty, and fight well. An officer’s standing—his chance of promotion, decorations, and so forth—depends on how well his units do. In other words, officers are going to hate this draft.
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