Many people in Britain did not recognise, or had forgotten, the importance of the Belfast/Good Friday Agreement until they witnessed the explosive consequences of it unravelling after the Brexit referendum in 2016 📧 Read Patrick Cockburn's latest news...
, US and Irish Republic. At the same time, the issue of the Irish border was once more in play with the potential to destabilise the Northern Irish state.
The biggest reason for celebrating the 25 years of the GFA is that its durability has been tested by Brexit but, despite a battering, it still stands. Johnson played the Orange Card but in the end it did him little good. The overwhelming vote in the House of Commons for the Windsor Framework shows that the willingness of the right of the Tory party to support the DUP has ebbed significantly.
The Police Service of Northern Ireland has warned this weekend of violence by dissident republicans such as the Real IRA, but the likelihood of any renewed military campaign is negligible. Dissidents are small in number and Irish republicans in the shape of Sinn Feín are winning elections north and south, and have no interest in a return to violence, quite the contrary.
It also reflected the balance of power between the chief outside players – the UK, Irish Republic, US and EU. Uncaring Johnson may have been about uprooting the GFA, but he repeatedly found that he had too few cards in his hand to do so successfully. Outside the EU, Britain is more than ever reliant on the US, but, the price of defying him over the Protocol was very high for the UK.
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