Our midterms forecast model updates daily to show which party has the upper-hand this November. Explore the findings of our model of the race to control Congress
Predicted range covers 95% of simulationsEach state has two senators, but only a third of Senate seats are up for election in any year.
Republicans currently hold most of this year’s seats, giving the Democrats an advantage. Still, to keep the majority Democrats must hang on to seats in places like Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada, or pick up seats in states such as Ohio, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.
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