It is still possible that no candidate at all wins an outright majority of delegates
IT IS NOT the sort of thing that moderates are supposed to do. Three days before the Democrats meet in New Hampshire for the state’s presidential primary election on February 11th, Joe Biden released an advertisement attacking Pete Buttigieg for his lack of experience , and reminding voters of his own CV as Barack Obama’s vice-president. Perhaps it was Mr Biden’s poor performance in Iowa the week before that put him on the offensive.
Mr Buttigieg will probably survive the assault. Voters in New Hampshire are likely to see the advertisement for what it is: a candidate in distress gasping for air. “Being a First in the Nation Primary voter is a huge responsibility,” says Ray Buckley, chair of the state’s Democratic Party. “When you meet a voter at a campaign event, chances are they have met at least a handful of candidates.” In other words, nobody will be surprised to hear about Mayor Pete’s youth or Mr Biden’s experience.
Mr Sanders remains the strongest candidate in New Hampshire. He has topped the polls there for most of the past month. Edith Tucker, a state representative from the northern town of Coos, says that voters credit him for his authenticity: “He gives the same speech, but you feel that he’s letting it all out. And he’s not pandering to you.” Consistency has been one of the key points in his campaign, and his embrace of far-left policies and democratic socialism have not turned off many voters.
This lays bare Mr Biden’s motivation for attacking Mr Buttigieg: if he does not soon establish himself as the clear moderate alternative to Mr Sanders, he will not stand a chance of winning the nomination. While the centrists struggle to coalesce around a single candidate, Mr Sanders can rack up wins that attract favourable media coverage and campaign contributions.
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