Star psephologist Antony Green has called it.
But the Coalition has performed significantly better than expected, especially in Queensland. The seats of Herbert and Longman look to be changing hands to the Coalition, and the seats of Blair and Lilley are also under threat.
Home affairs minister Peter Dutton held on to his seat of Dickson in Queensland, which was under threat from Labor's Ali France. By 10pm on Saturday night the Coalition had won 74 seats and Labor had won 65, according to Green's predictions.
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