The challenge for Rishi Sunak of his most important conference

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The challenge for Rishi Sunak of his most important conference
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Sunak is operating on the assumption that this - his first conference as party leader - is likely to be his most important, and conceivably his last. | ITV National News

's last Conservative Party Conference before the general election. I say that with almost total confidence - because even if he chooses to go to the country in October 2024, which is what I expect, his colleagues tell me there is next to no chance he would choose to hold a conference during the campaign.

His critique is that big decisions by Labour and Tory governments have been taken to generate short term headlines, without enough prior scrutiny of long term consequences. The more cynical version of what Sunak is doing is to find intellectual cover for short-term decisions that are in fact populist and which he hopes will be popular. These include his delays to the phase-out of gas boilers and petrol/diesel cars and his clamp-down on the ability of local councils to impose traffic-calming one-way systems and 20 mph speed limits.

It is possible, arguable even, that most of us don't expect quick fixes, that we accept the argument that British redemption is a long term project. But what Sunak knows isn't enough is to rely on inflation falling by the end of next year to 1 percentage point above the 2 percent target and then claiming everything of importance is sorted.He is a right-wing economic liberal.

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