Here's what market-timing investors are looking for to turn optimistic.
The end of the U.S. stock market’s correction is looking a lot closer. That’s the conclusion of a contrarian analysis of market timer sentiment. It’s encouraging, from a contrarian perspective, that the market timer community in recent days has become extremely pessimistic — as pessimistic, in fact, as it has been at prior market bottoms.
The S&P 500 SPX currently is trading 12% below where it stood when that column was published. The Nasdaq Composite COMP is almost 17% lower. Orderly declines versus panics It’s anyone’s guess what it will take this time to reach levels associated with bear-market lows. Contrarians tend to avoid even attempting such projections, preferring instead to let the sentiment data tell the story in real time.
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