Take Five: The Big themes likely to dominate thinking of investors and traders in the coming week
- Following are five big themes likely to dominate thinking of investors and traders in the coming week and the Reuters stories related to them.
Unsurprisingly, some market watchers advise caution. As Volmageddon showed, vol can spike spectacularly in a quiet market, sometimes driven by just one unexpected data point. After all, if the old adage holds, some people may be looking to sell in May and go away.Data: more important than usual these days as markets try to decide whether the green shoots cropping up in some places are the real deal.
For sure, one week of brighter data isn’t enough to shift entrenched pessimism. So while Citi’s economic surprise indexes for Europe and United States have started ticking higher, they remain in negative territory. Nor have brighter growth numbers managed to lift German 10-year bond yields much above zero percent yet. But keep watching that data.This month’s Fed meeting saw Chairman Jerome Powell play down recent weakness in U.S.
For MSCI’s global tech index, net earnings revisions are at their strongest in over six months. With 60 percent of IT companies having reported so far, almost 90 percent have beaten expectations, according to UBS. Coming after a string of downgrades before March, that’s a relief.
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