Scientists say new climate law is likely to reduce warming

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Scientists say new climate law is likely to reduce warming
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Climate scientists say the new spending package that President Biden just signed will trim future warming a bit.

“not a lot, but not insignificantly either,” according to a climate scientist who led an independent analysis of the package.

The group of scientists examines and rates each country’s climate goals and actions. It still rates American action as “insufficient" but hailed some progress.“This is the biggest thing to happen to the U.S. on climate policy,” said Bill Hare, the Australia-based director of Climate Analytics which puts out the tracker. “When you think back over the last decades, you know, not wanting to be impolite, there’s a lot of talk, but not much action.

Before the law, Climate Action Tracker calculated that if every other nation made efforts similar to those of the U.S., it would lead to a world with catastrophic warming — 5.4 to 7.2 degrees above pre-industrial times. Now in the best case scenario, which Hare said is reasonable and likely, U.S. actions, if mimicked, would lead to only 3.6 degrees of warming. If things don’t work quite as optimistically as Hare thinks, it would be 5.4 degrees of warming, the analysis said.

And China “won’t say this out loud, but I think will see the U.S. move as something they need to match,” Hare said.

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