Sen. Bernie Sanders' odds of winning the Iowa caucuses have been rising over the last month. Even the worst polls for Sanders have him close to the top. But some data suggests some potential weaknesses in Sanders' armor. | Analysis by ForecasterEnten
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders' odds of winning the Iowa caucuses have been rising over the last month. Even the worst polls for Sanders have him close to the top. Yet some data suggests some potential weaknesses in Sanders' armor, given how caucuses differ from primaries.
A new Monmouth University poll, for example, has Sanders well within the margin of error against former Vice President Joe Biden . The previous Monmouth poll had put Biden at 24% and Sanders at 18%. When you add the Monmouth poll to the average of high-quality recent polls, Sanders comes in with 22% to Biden's 18%. Not too far behind are former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 17% and Massachusetts' Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 16% in the average.
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