Stocks Analysis by Michael Kramer covering: S&P 500, iShares Core S&P 500 ETF, SPDR® S&P 500, S&P 500 Futures. Read Michael Kramer's latest article on Investing.com
essentially staying within the previous day's trading range. It managed to close the session up about 40 basis points. Interestingly, the index opened higher yesterday but the highs from the day before remained intact, for now.CPI swaps are pricing a 3.55% increase in the headline y/y change, basically in line with analysts’ estimates.
At day’s end, the S&P 500 straddle was only pricing in a 75 bps move by the end of the day today, which doesn’t seem like much given the inflation report. Perhaps that is because the Fed minutes today implied that the Fed is probably done at this point. There is always a chance for one more rate hike, but from reading through the minutes, it sounds like the odds favor them being finished hiking rates, barring a surprise.It seems that the Fed is content with policy where it is; instead, it is shifting its focus on the length of time that rates will remain at these levels. Which I would imagine is going to be high for some time. Of course, that will depend on the neutral rate of the economy and whether the policy is restrictive enough.
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