With Russian advancement in its war with Ukraine often stalled, the country has frequently turned to cyberattacks to cause mayhem for the defenders.
Around the Feb. 24 anniversary of Russia’s invasion, cybersecurity experts observed dozens of state-sponsored attacks on Ukrainian targets, including internet services, power stations, and government websites.Ukraine’s own State Service of Special Communications and Information Protection reported that the overall number of cyberattacks on the country in 2022 nearly tripled from 2021 levels. Attacks from Russian IP addresses increased by 21%, it said.
For example, between Feb. 24 and March 1, 2022, the Canadian Centre for Cyber Security identified at least seven major cyberattacks against Ukrainian targets, with four Russian hacking groups identified as the likely culprits. In addition, cyberattacks can have a psychological impact because “they can spread misinformation and propaganda to influence public perception,” he added.
Kellermann expects the Russia-based cyberattacks to continue as the war goes on, citing Vladimir Putin, the Russian strongman and leader. “Putin will unleash the hounds,” Kellermann said. “We will see an increase of destructive attacks enabled by both the manifestation of more zero-days and new wiper malware.”
“We will likely still see changes in how the war is fought, by what means, and at which targets,” Flashpoint researchers wrote. “When it makes more sense to attack Western entities, Russia may very well shift tactics — major cyberattacks take time. When it makes strategic sense, the face of war will change again.”
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