Investors are grappling with some troublesome headlines from Russia-Ukraine. Here's the big headache from that, says JPMorgan.
Wall Street is returning from a four-day weekend that began with diplomacy hopes, and ended with Russian President Vladimir Putin ordering troops into separatist regions of eastern Ukraine.
Some sage advice comes from Pepperstone’s head of research, Chris Weston, who reminds us that “trading in a headline-driven market is not for everyone, it requires a dedication to being in front of the screens, an understanding of what is noise and what is signal and an ability to keep emotions in check.”
This view has been echoed elsewhere. Neil Shearing, group chief economist at Capital Economics, is estimating that in a worst-case scenario oil prices could rise to $120 a barrel. For U.S. companies, JPMorgan calculated that direct Russian exposure is about 0.6% for the Russell 1000 RUI , with Ukraine roughly at 0.1%.
Watch U.S.-listed Chinese tech stocks, after a rough start to the week in their home country on fears of more regulatory crackdowns, and as the government ordered banks and state-owned companies to report any exposure to fintech Ant Group, with owner Alibaba BABA and Tencent 700 taking hard hits. The Russian ruble RUBUSD is down 1.5% against the dollar and the country’s MOEX index is down 4%. Cryptocurrencies BTCUSD are also taking a hard hit.
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