Road to Zero Emissions Now Clear for Road Traffic

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Road to Zero Emissions Now Clear for Road Traffic
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The road to zero emissions from road traffic is very clear now. The solution is battery electric vehicles. The legacy carmakers accept this.

— the implosion of the legacy fossil fuel vehicle market is around 2025. Because the top of the S-curve will not be reached by replacing fossil fuel models 1 on 1 with fully electric models. That production capacity is nowhere in sight. A market share of over 90% will be reached by the disappearance of the fossil fuel market.

This is not because of any policies or decisions by carmakers to do the right thing and produce only BEVs. This is the invisible hand of the market taking over. Policies and supply do not matter without demand. After the implosion of demand in China and Northwest Europe, it is the speed with which other countries realize what is happening. With modern communication through internet, it will be fast.

An accelerated replacement can be expected with a production output of BEVs higher than the previous production of FFVs in the last decade. Trucking is 10 years behind light vehicles at the moment. The technology for trucking is being developed. The biggest obstacle is lack of batteries. Trucking is also a very cost sensitive business. Electric trucking will become a lot cheaper than fossil fuel trucking. Around 2050, nobody can afford to use a fossil fuel truck commercially, even if the truck is donated free of charge.

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