That the GOP will have Iowa to itself in early presidential action reflects the state’s stark tilt to the right over the past decade. Iowa is effectively off the table for Democrats in presidential politics, along with now-red states Florida and Ohio.
On freezing nights leading up to Iowa’s crucial first-in-the-nation presidential caucuses, the Des Moines Marriott Downtown’s bar usually brims with journalists, campaign operatives, political tourists, and assorted others. In 2024, the crowd may be lighter.
For Republicans, at least, Iowa is still the first state to vote in the national candidate selection process. The GOP caucuses are scheduled for Feb. 5. Still, that hasn’t stopped a pair of additional GOP candidates already camping out in the Hawkeye State: former South Carolina Gov. and U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley and “anti-woke” biotech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy. The GOP field could soon grow, with former Vice President Mike Pence, ex-Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, and Sen. Tim Scott among those considering bids.
From 2016 on, though, Iowa has been blood red. Trump won Iowa by about 8 points against 2016 Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and against President Joe Biden in 2020. And on Capitol Hill, Iowa’s entire congressional delegation, two senators and four House members, are all Republican. So are the governorship and majorities in both state legislative chambers.
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