RBC Heritage matchup bets and predictions for Harbour Town, South Carolina.
derivative playsWhile in one case I’m going against the recommendation of my model, I’m of the belief the following two matchup bets are of the strongest value of the options available. Plus, backers are getting two players who tend to play well on Dye designs and have a good history at this event, so the positives do outweigh the negatives.
Although he actually ranks behind McCarthy in my statistical model, there are positives counter-balancing that fact. For example, Harman was fifth at the Valspar Championship, another 7,200-yard course. Plus, he’s finished inside the top-30 at the RBC Heritage in four of his last five appearances. Lastly, just in terms of both players’ approach play on Dye designs of 7200 yards or fewer, Harman owns a 60-spot advantage .And even though my model doesn’t rate him particularly highly, there are still positives to draw from that aspect. Harman ranks third in the field in SG: ARG and is 28th or better in fairways gained and three-putt avoidance.
Across the last 24 rounds, the South Korean is third overall in my model verses 23rd for Kirk. However, over the last 36 rounds, Kim ranks 14th while Kirk drops all the way to 49th.