A handful of districts will determine who controls Virginia’s political future - Republicans or Democrats.
RICHMOND — The bustling commuter neighborhoods of Fredericksburg. The military suburbs of Virginia Beach. Housing developments outside Richmond.
Similarly, on the Senate side, the VPAP analysis found 20 districts that favor Democrats by at least 5 points and 16 that favor Republicans — leaving four districts that could go either way.Those districts, almost all suburban in character, comprise the race-within-a-race where each side is jockeying for any slight advantage in hopes of winning those extra seats needed to create a majority.
The district has the city of Petersburg at its heart, but sprawls east into Prince George and Surry counties and west into Dinwiddie County. While Petersburg is heavily African American, the counties are largely White, so the district is racially balanced and divided sharply between urban and rural issues.
Thomas has raised about $3.2 million, including a massive October infusion of about $1.2 million from the House Democratic Caucus, according to VPAP — signifying the down-to-the wire nature of the race. Perry, 39, is a former prosecutor and CIA officer often likened to Rep. Abigail Spanberger , who also worked in a covert capacity for the spy agency.
Senate District 16 favored Democrat Terry McAuliffe over Youngkin by 6 points in 2021 and gave Democrats a 10-point win in last year’s congressional midterms. But Republicans have continued pouring big bucks into Dunnavant’s campaign, apparently hoping the eight-year incumbent can survive the new political lines that pushed her from swing territory into bluer ’burbs.
VanValkenburg has said he supports upholding current Virginia law. Dunnavant supports the 15-week limit Youngkin is calling for but with an additional exception: in cases of severe fetal anomalies. But unlike Youngkin, she would put a time limit on the exceptions, allowing them only up to the point of viability, which she says ranges from 22 to 24 weeks of gestation.
The two have hammered each other with particularly negative and pervasive advertisements, signifying the high stakes and Mason’s vulnerability. Griffin has also often cited his work lobbying in Richmond to pass “Gwyneth’s Law,” in honor of his late daughter, to require CPR training for Virginia public school teachers and high school students.
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