Pac-12 mailbag: Is an Arizona departure ‘worst-case scenario’ for Pac-12? Plus expansion candidates and more

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Pac-12 mailbag: Is an Arizona departure ‘worst-case scenario’ for Pac-12? Plus expansion candidates and more
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If Arizona were to jump the Pac-12 for what it would perceive as greener Big 12 pastures, how viable would the Wildcats' former conference be in terms of its survival?

Q: If a worst-case scenario occurs and one of the Four Corners schools takes the Big 12 offer and two more follow, what actually becomes of the conference and what happens to Washington and Oregon if the Big Ten is not ready to expand? — @trintranThere is no indication the majority of Big Ten schools are interested in adding new members in the short term and thereby detonating the Pac-12.

Earlier this year, one Hotline source called Arizona and Colorado the primary “flight risks,” with Arizona State and Utah preferring to remain with the California and Northwest schools. Q: You kept saying that the Pac-12 would be in huge danger if it didn’t finalize a media deal by the end of March. It is late April. So now what? — @CelestialMosh

A: Our view of this issue might not be shared by many, but the Hotline believes strongly that CFP expansion in the 2024 season will be the most significant development in the past 40 years, transforming college football in ways the BCS and four-team playoff never did. Again, we could be in the minority with that view. But the remainder of the 2020s is all about brand building for the next stage in college football’s evolution, when the Power Five becomes the Power Three or Power Four and economic forces create a clear bifurcation into the haves and have-nots.

Perhaps. But ESPN’s rumored offer could be for the Tier One package — the 40-plus games currently broadcast by ESPN and Fox. If so, that would leave the Tier Two package for another media partner. Q: Who are the top expansion candidates for the Pac-12 outside of San Diego State and SMU? — @CarlAdamsWV

I’m getting concerned the Pac-12 is going to beat itself out of College Football Playoff contention, with the upper half not even leaving a one-loss team. Can you talk me down? — @Cargoman0363 That’s highly unlikely, and were it to happen in a given year, well, the Pac-12 simply would not deserve a bid.We’ll address the latest piece of California legislation in the coming weeks, but Assembly Bill 252 would make NIL look like amateur hour in terms of disruption to the NCAA economic model.

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