Opinion: Who is Joe Biden’s base, really?
Former vice president Joe Biden speaks to members of the media after addressing an International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers conference in Washington on Friday. By David Byler David Byler Data analyst and political columnist focusing on elections, polling, demographics and statistics Email Bio Follow Data analyst and political columnist April 5 To put it mildly, former vice president Joe Biden hasn’t had a great week.
Biden’s coalition has some distinctive features. According to recent primary polls, he does well with older voters, gets support from both white and nonwhite voters and, according to a Quinnipiac poll, performs better with moderate and somewhat liberal voters than he does with very liberal voters. And before declaring Biden a relic of the Democratic Party past, it’s worth remembering that Biden’s supporters include both nonwhite and white voters. Not every poll releases racial breakdowns that are more detailed than white vs. nonwhite. But Biden’s association with Barack Obama and his historic candidacy probably helps here.
Some of Biden’s national support might be soft, though. He’s one of the few candidates with high name recognition, and voters who haven’t researched every candidate and already formed strong opinions might tell pollsters they support him because they know who he is, vaguely like him and haven’t really thought about it more than that. When the primary really gets underway, they might find other candidates they prefer.
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