The 2022 primaries are over and the midterm elections have progressed to the general election campaign as Democrats seek to defy history and hang on to their slim congressional majorities.
Republicans have been heavily favored for months because President Joe Biden is relatively unpopular and the party in power tends to lose ground in their first midterm election. But the Supreme Court’s reversal of Roe v. Wade, the easing of gas prices, and Biden’s modest approval rating bump following a flurry of activity on Capitol Hill has made the red wave look less fearsome in recent weeks.
Rep. Liz Cheney was the highest-profile case. She made her entire campaign about Trump in the state where he performed best in the 2020 presidential election. Cheney lost to Republican primary challenger Harriet Hageman by 37.4 points. Trump’s endorsement left an indelible mark on the GOP’s 2022 Senate candidates, as in at least four states — Ohio, Pennsylvania, Arizona, and North Carolina — he was a deciding factor in which Republicans emerged from crowded primary fields.
The White House has been outspoken about the dangers of “ultra-MAGA” but mum on this Democratic tactic. If Democrats hold the Senate or even expand their majority, giving Biden the talking point that this is the first time this has happened in a Democratic president’s first midterm election since JFK and liberals a renewed opportunity to curb or eliminate the filibuster, there will be a lot of blame to go around: Trump for his endorsements, McConnell for his lack thereof, Sen.
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