Markets, and analysts, seem unsure how to react to jarring news Trump has COVID-19

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Markets, and analysts, seem unsure how to react to jarring news Trump has COVID-19
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U.S. economy regains a fewer-than-forecast 661,000 jobs in September

The question that market analysts were trying to answer on Friday was whether the news President Donald Trump has contracted COVID-19 is the October surprise that will change the outlook for the election, and of course, markets.“Markets will focus on whether this affects the election outcome or public health policy. The future presidential debates may not happen; these were not seen as especially significant.

Marshall Gittler, head of investment research at BDSwiss Group, argued the opposite. “Even if he’s healthy enough to continue, what message does this give to his supporters, who believed him when he consistently downplayed the severity of the virus, said it was going to ‘disappear,’ and said his administration’s response to it was ‘perfect’? Moreover, Trump’s whole persona is based on an aura of ‘winning.

The fate of a possible U.S. stimulus deal also was a Wall Street concern. Economists at Citi say there’s a 30% chance of a deal, as both Democratic lawmakers and White House officials continue talking after the House passed its $2.2 trillion stimulus package.

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