Making sense of North Korea’s covid mystery — and its menace

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Making sense of North Korea’s covid mystery — and its menace
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North Korea’s self-proclaimed “public health crisis” appears to have mysteriously subsided as quickly as it spread, according to state media. But international public health officials warn that there is no way to corroborate those claims.

Expert analyses, limited trade data, satellite imagery and the accounts of North Korean defectors and informants provide clues to help make sense of the gravity of North Korea’s covid crisis — especially as authorities assess whether to ease lockdown measures as the outbreak supposedly ebbs.

Leader Kim Jong Un’s announcement of the spread of the coronavirus indicates the outbreak could no longer be contained quietly at local levels, especially given the heavy concentration of cases in its capital of Pyongyang, where the elites reside, said Rachel Minyoung Lee, a former intelligence analyst and an expert in North Korean media propaganda.

When the pandemic first broke out, North Korea quickly halted land-based trade with China and banned travel between its provinces. But in the first quarter of 2022, it reopened to low levels of trade with China, which may have exposed it to covid.Cases began spreading in April, state media said.

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