The upcoming polls are the biggest test of political opinion in England outside a general election.
The Conservatives are braced for a bad set of results. Cabinet ministers have all been told to make three campaign visits to target areas. But senior figures in the party say they are likely to lose hundreds of seats - perhaps 1,000.
Will that be a verdict on Rishi Sunak? In part, it has to be, because this is his first big electoral test as Conservative leader. But Tories are also arguing behind the scenes that the party is doing better on key issues like the economy, immigration and leadership. The Conservatives are preparing for a blow, but they'll argue it's not a fatal one.Labour thinks it has a good chance of forming the next government at Westminster - and it will want to show it has momentum.
The Lib Dems are not going for subtlety in this campaign. At their launch, leader Sir Ed Davey drove a tractor through a wall of blue haybales; an in your face message that the party was targeting the "Blue Wall' of Conservative-voting seats. The Lib Dems also have their sights set on gains in areas like Stratford-on-Avon, the constituency of former minister and ex-Tory Party chairman Nadhim Zahawi, Cheltenham, represented in parliament by Conservative minister Alex Chalk and in Wokingham, where John Redwood is the MP.
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