If Iran is finally able to manufacture enough weapons-grade uranium to place a nuclear warhead on a ballistic missile, it would instantly represent a dramatically elevated threat to global peace. No country would feel that threat more deeply than Israel.
“Certainly, it’s not good for the Middle East,” Kirby said. Iran has foes other than Israel in the area, Saudi Arabia foremost among them. But the desire to rid the region of the world’s only Jewish state is less a policy goal for Tehran than an overarching commitment. In 2020, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the country’s top cleric,echoing rhetoric that has changed little in its intensity since the founding of the Islamic Republic in 1979.
, thus weakening the deal to the point of uselessness. Netanyahu cheered the move, but other top Israeli officials did not, arguing that it made little sense to release Iran from the very oversight that was supposed to act as a brake. If a revived JCPOA had seemed like a real possibility only months before, the negotiations were all but over by early 2023.
But the Israelis want to know just what that means. On the one hand, sources told Yahoo News, they have concluded that Iran’s ruling regime will not survive. At the same time, a confrontation with Israel could help Iran’s government shore up support at home at a precarious time. “The Iranians are not stupid. They are not suicidal,” said Daniel R. DePetris, an analyst with Defense Priorities, a Washington-based think tank that tends to be skeptical of Washington’s foreign policy consensus.
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