The close race for control of the state legislature will tell us a lot about which party has the upper hand going into next year.
Virginia Republicans are reprising Gov. Glenn Youngkin’s 2021 education-focused messaging in this year's state legislative elections, while Democrats hope GOP opposition to abortion rights helps continue their string of state successes. | Stephanie Scarbrough/AP PhotoRICHMOND, Va. — Next month’s Virginia state legislative election will provide the most meaningful read yet on the 2024 political environment.
Republicans are running their campaign through a PAC controlled by allies of the state’s ambitious-but-term-limited Republican governor, Glenn Youngkin. That PAC, Spirit of Virginia, has identified 17 state House and Senate districts as crucial — and their demographic and political characteristics will sound familiar to anyone who’s followed elections since Donald Trump’s 2016 victory.
Which messages resonate most will determine which party controls the state Legislature — and provide valuable clues about 2024.
“The wind is kind of at our back in these districts,” said Rexrode, citing the gap between Biden and Youngkin in polls at the district level. “But they’re still incredibly close.” Both parties are campaigning on the same issues at the core of the 2024 election, and they’re targeting the types of swing areas that will also determine key swing states like Georgia and North Carolina.
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