Ian destroyed parts of GOP-leaning Lee County. But Republicans are confident ahead of November.

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Ian destroyed parts of GOP-leaning Lee County. But Republicans are confident ahead of November.
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Hurricane Ian caused widespread damage in Southwest Florida, one of the state’s most politically conservative regions. Republicans in Lee County are now assessing how the storm will affect voter turnout, with some insisting they'll do just fine 2022.

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. — No one understands how hurricanes affect elections more than Florida Republican Matt Caldwell.

Florida is experiencing a similar situation now with Hurricane Ian, which caused widespread damage in Southwest Florida, one of the state’s most politically conservative regions. DeSantis is heavily favored to win re-election, with a recent Mason Dixon poll placing him ahead of Democratic challenger Charlie Crist by 11 points. This year, Republicans are expected to win against under-resourced Democrats in the three Florida Cabinet races, and Sen., by 7 points in some polls.

“There are many, many ways that people can vote,” said David Johnson, a longtime Florida Republican consultant. “I don’t think it will be impactful on election outcomes. There are, very sadly, people who will not be able to vote, but as we learned in Michael, four-four voters find a way to vote. They always do.” Four-four voters refers to Republicans who have voted in the prior four elections.

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