How accurate Is Groundhog Day? See Punxsutawney Phil's record on spring predictions

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How accurate Is Groundhog Day? See Punxsutawney Phil's record on spring predictions
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Groundhogs are cute, groundhogs create great tourism, but groundhogs are not good predictors of changing seasons.

Groundhogs are cute, groundhogs create great tourism for Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, but groundhogs do not make for good predictors of changing seasons.

Sure, he started off strong in 1887, when he debuted at Gobbler's Knob and accurately predicted six more weeks of winter,the National Centers for Environmental Information . But, he's wrong most of the time. Although, we can't put all the blame on him because he never formally studied meteorology and the NCEI noted predicting when spring will arrive is a bit of a tall task for anyone because of the United States' varied regional climates.

Between 2010 and 2019, Phil's predictions were only correct 40 percent of the time, according to the NCEI. The bright side, though, is that three out of the four years he was correct–2011, 2013 and 2016–he failed to see his shadow so spring came early. He was also correct in 2014, but that prediction kept winter going for six more weeks.

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