Some outlooks have the PNW staying on the drier, milder side this season.
? Cold and wet or warm and dry?-nerdy right off the bat by invoking Sir Isaac Newton and his laws of motion in physics. His Third Law of Motion states that: “For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction.”
Will we get it? Statistically, it’s not looking good. After three winters of La Niña conditions, we’re now flipping over to an El Niño winter. People’s eyes glaze over when we start talking about ENSO cycles, but in very general terms, El NiBut! It’s an observation, not a law. Take the incredible amounts of rain and snow observed last winter and spring over the Southwest – which was during a La Niña, when statistically they’re the ones who are supposed to be warm and dry.
How does this outlook compare to Seattle normal rain totals/temperatures? How much of a diversion from normal is that? Mean average temperatures run about 54 degrees in October, 47 degrees in November and 42 degrees in December. It would be nice if it weren’t this cold, but we need cold air to help build snowpack – the most important element in drought fighting and wildfire mitigation.October through April are typically the most active months here, with a big difference between September and October, when we go from an average rainfall of 1.61 inches in September jumping to an average of 3.91 inches in October.
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